lukitasw

Wurzburg is covering their handicaps very well.
In their last 10 games they have covered 9 out of 10
In their last 5 home games - 5 out of 5.
Line -3.5 looks logical.
Overall -3.5 needs to be taken!

To class spanish duel is waitting for us today.
I prefer baskonia to win this match and to cover -1.5 handicap which gives good value with 2.11 odd.
Arguments: 
Firstly, Baskonia is on a perfect wave recenty. In their last five games they have beaten Zalgiris, bamberg, Valencia, Gran Canaria and Joventut. 
Good point, Basks have covered their handicaps in all five games.
Baskonia sees this games as extremely important to qulify to top 16.
Barcelona has no chances to qualify, so teams motivation is in a little bit different level.
As well Barca has some important players missing: Hanga , Sherapin, Sanders. As we can see it gives negative influence tio their permonace.
At he very end: nothing but Baskonia today.

Very strong tip this time.
Bulls are league leaders and playing very well at home, most of the time by double digits.
Gunners are playing tragically away. They have lost 9 of their last 10 away games.
Finally, one very important fact to mention - high scorer: D. Gregg with an average of 16 points is off tomorrow.
Nothing but value.

 

Cantu is having big injuries problems.
Team leader, high scorer(18 pts) R. Culpepper wil not be able to play.
As well team Pivot A. Crosariol has a little chances to show up on a court because injury as well.
 

Line is way too short.
Bamberg can not be underdogs at home against Bayern.
Maybe Brose is lacking motivation in local league, but against top teams there is always a different deal and team is having different motivation.

ULM has a lon list of injured players for tonights game.
Per Günther, Trey Lewis, Luka Babic, Luke Harangody and Jerrelle Benimon won' t be able to help a team.
It would be a great pick if not some questions in oposite side.
Bryant( Main center and team leader) and Manigat are questionable. 
If one of those two players will be able tonight, I could see a very good value here.

I think that Cantu has very small chances to win this game.
At the same time it is good oportunity for Trento to cover a handicap.
Main factors for this pick are a return of Gutierrez and injuries of Culpeper and Crosariol.
Culpeper will not be able to help a team until the 4th of march and Crosariol suffering back pain and probably won't be able to help a team tonight.
Both players are very important: Culpeper is a team leader and high scorer with average of 18 pts per game.  Crosariol is a main Center forward.
Point guard and center possitions are the most important one's, so these injuries offering even more value.
 

I can see very good value here.
Firstly, Cpo d' orlando hasn't covered their handicap even once in their last 10 games.
Team is struglling a lot and loosing every single game by double digits, doesn't matter home or away.
I don't know what exactly, but in more than 10 last games something is really really wrong inside a team.
Reaggiana is doing good joob recntly, especially in euro cup where they have beatten good teams. For example Unics Kazan - twice.
I don't believe that this time Capo going to jump up and do something special to cover a handicap

Szedeaks game aand results are getting worst because recently they have been missing two very important, high scoring players: A.Ciric and L.Juhos.
Nevertheless, problems are not finished there. Main point guard - M.Botic probably will not play tonight because of his injury.
Even with M. Botic I can see value here.
Without him it would be decent value.

Euroleague is always tough busines for gamblers, but...

This time some fresh news has come.

Nemanja Nedovic is suffering an injury and won't be able to play for up to three weeks.

Nemanja is a team leader this season with average of 16 points and 14.6 efficiency points in Euroleague.

Most of the bookies have reacted yet and offering -6.5. I think its going to go up to -7.5 when most of the gamblers are going to react to Unicajas situation

All in all There is some value in handicaping Khimki, but it must be done on time.

Two more than importnt plauers are missing for Alab: P. siva and S, Butterfield.
Big loss for Alba and at the seame time good value handicaping Darussafaka

Early line, game on sunday.
Anyway, I can see very good value here, line should be higher by 3 points or more.
Monaco is very strong this year both away and home. Without any doubts main competitor for champions title.
Nanterre is not easy one to beat at home, but the team is not that powerrfull and recent games they showed less quality.
Finally: Monaco-2.5 very good value.

Main pick of the day!

Svendborg hosting Randers which is a team with bigger potential. The reason why they are so close recently is Top Randers oponents in a lat few games.

Bookmakers are giving good line for this game and it going higher.

Svendborg is facing some problems at the moment:

Main scorer - Michael Moore is out tonight. as well important center forward Jacob Enevold Jensen - off.

In spite of that, American Demonte flannigan ha made a debut and score 14 points. I don't think he is going to be as good this game and as effective as M. Moore.

Moreover, Randers side forward C.burgess is back on a court

Conclusion - randers -3.5 very good choise

eams have faced each other 3 times in recent two months.
At home Suduva lost by 6 points, but away both defeats were taken by more than 20 points.
When line has opened it was -6.5, now its only -2.5 which is wa way too short.

More over, one of Suduvas leader R. Milieskiene had a knee operation and not going to help for a team at least 6 weeks.
Finally: Tsmoki -2.5 looks like really good selection today

Time to go against underdogs this time.
Monaco is my favorites this round to beat quiet big handicap.
This year team is playing an impressive basketball, especially home where beating team by double digits.
They are guaranteed about their seat in the next stage, so bookies are giving a bit shorter handicap because of that.
In spite of that team haven't shown any sings of relaxation for their recent to games and were fighting for maximum.
If Monaco i going to play their regular game, handicap will be beaten.
I am going to give only 5 points for this bet because of possible lack of motivation.

Shortly about Gaziantep:
As you can see from their results, team can not find a key to victories, having really bad season and negative results bots in europe and turkey.
As well, team basically lost their chance to qualify to the next stage so it is not going to give an extra motivation.
Now about Neptunas:
Lithuanians are underrated this time. Of course, after departure of Palcios, Girdziunas and Butkevicius they became weaker.
But it did not destroy a team spirit and quality game.
Team announced about new sponsors and can feel safe about financial situation.
Furthermore, 2 players B. Fields and V. Sulskis have joined a team.
All in all, good value taking Neptunas -1.5.

I can see this game almost 50/50.
Of course, Burgos has a home court advantage, but potentially they are one of the weakest squad in ACB.
Moreover, their recent form shows team position as it should be.
Betis had a disaster at the beginning of the season, they couldn't win for more than 10 games.
Now team is rising from the bottom. On top of this, I really don't see Betis finishing on the bottom of the table, where they are now.
Betis 2.6 ML - value must have

nteresting Rivalry between two teams fighting for the last tickets to qualify to next round.
I would like to say that Hapoel is undervalued this time.
Now they are better then they were in the beginning of the season.
1st reason - they found a solutions to improve their game, second reason - they have received some reinforcement after bad start of a season.
Juventus in this case is a team which is strong enough only at home to fight for the victory. Away in CL they are having loads of troubles.
If no surprises, Hapoel are favorits to cover -5.5 handicap

This time, spread line is too high and good chance for handicaping Huesca.
As you can see, Ourense is on a bottom of table with only two victories.
Despite of that, recently 2 players have joined a team and 1 of them D. Rozitis doing well with average of 12 points in two games.
Huesca has received some reinforcement as well. No big names, but it helps for good team rotation.
Ourense Leader - Aahonen is questionable. If Aahonen off, Huesca would have even better chances to cover handicap.
Worth trying.