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Member since: 2017-08-30
Last seen: 65month ago
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Paid tips profit: +11.56
Paid tips yield: +2.5%
Average stake:7.4
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Top position:#50
Average odds:2.08

MonthYieldProfitTotal tips
2024-03+0.0%0.000
2018-03-13.1%-2.232
2018-02+29.6%+13.897
2018-01-28.5%-25.3413
2017-12-5.9%-9.1222
2017-11+19.8%+37.0125
2017-10+35.4%+70.3926
2017-09+14.1%+20.8719
2017-08-100.0%-8.001
  

    Previous Tips

  • Publish date: 2017-12-05 18:23:08
    Event date: 2017-12-06 19:30:00
    Stake: 5/10
    Under 162.5 @1.94
    Lost
    Ended 2017/12/06
    5/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Under 162.5
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 5/10

    Both teams are not that high scoring and given total of points is a little too high.
    If we would have a look at the average points of both teams in CL it's visible that total is about 5 points higher than average.
    Both teams have played 12 games and 8 of them had under 162.5
    Very simple: Value.



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  • Publish date: 2017-12-05 18:03:24
    Event date: 2017-12-06 21:45:00
    Stake: 9/10
    Falco -17.5 @1.94
    Won
    Ended 2017/12/06
    9/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Falco -17.5
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 9/10

    Team are facing a big financial issues, two main players have already left a team.
    Furthermore this game for karpos doesn't mean anything, they are not going to qualify any further.
     very good value taking line -17.5.



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  • Publish date: 2017-12-04 12:48:39
    Event date: 2017-12-05 19:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Murcia - 4.5 @1.95
    Won
    Ended 2017/12/05
    8/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Murcia - 4.5
    Odds: 1.95
    Stake: 8/10
    Juventus are having very hard times recenty.
    Long list of injured players which atoumaticaly gives a lack of rotation.
    On weekend team has been playing agains Siauliai with 7 players only!
    Furthermore, main players have spent more than 30 minutes on a court.
    Because of that, team should't feel fresh even on tuesday, after 2 days rest.
    More over, line -4.5 looks good even if we don't look to injuries list. 
    Murcia team is more solid and has a lot bigger potential than Juventus
    Final word: Line -4.5 should be taken without waitting because very soon it's going to go up.


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  • Publish date: 2017-12-02 14:11:32
    Event date: 2017-12-02 17:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Siauliai +8.5 @1.91
    Lost
    Ended 2017/12/02
    8/10
    Lithuania
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Siauliai +8.5
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 8/10

    Main and the most important thing - Juventus is suffering from injuries very badly.
    Only 7 players is going to be ready for the match today.
    List of players off: Arvydas Šikšnius, Dovis Bičkauskisas, Laurynas Samėnas, Tautvydas Paliukėnas, Jonas Zakas.
    Juventus should be definitely lacking of rotation and stability in the end of the game.
    I can see very good value in taking Siauliai +8.5



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-30 17:40:05
    Event date: 2017-11-30 19:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Khimki -4.5 @1.91
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/30
    7/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Khimki -4.5
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 7/10

    First of all, there is a value in spread line -4.5
    Secondly, anthony Gill which is one the key players has came back.
    Despite of loose of Robinson, Khimki shouldn't have problems under the basket because Bambergs line of forwards are not that powerfull.
    Conclusion: Khimki -4.5 worth taking a risk.



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-29 13:47:35
    Event date: 2017-11-30 21:05:00
    Stake: 6/10
    Over 157.5 @1.91
    Lost
    Ended 2017/11/30
    6/10
    Euroleague
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Over 157.5
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 6/10
    Basically Zalgiris has a lot of problems when opponents are playing fast paced offensively aggressive basketball.
    One of the examples was last game against Efes where Zalgiris won only because of sharp offense.
    Even Sarunas Jasikeviciu underlined that this season main problem is defense.
    Maccabi is fast team and no one would be surprised about high scoring.
    Conclusion: value in over 157.5


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  • Publish date: 2017-11-28 12:53:27
    Event date: 2017-11-28 22:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Melilla -5 @1.95
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/28
    8/10
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    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Melilla -5
    Odds: 1.95
    Stake: 8/10
     
    Teams are having opposite seasons so far. Melilla is one of the top teams and Ourense is on a very bottom with only one win
    Spread line is -5 and its valuable when choosing Melilla.
    More over, key factor for this game is Ourenses players off.
    One of the main players - R.Uzas is missing match due to injurie.
    This seasson's team leader - Ahonen probably miss the match due to national team game yesterday, where he played 18 minutes in Finland.
    All in all: Todays evening should be exceptionally tough for Ourense.


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  • Publish date: 2017-11-24 12:49:42
    Event date: 2017-11-24 19:45:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Russia -4 @1.95
    Lost
    Ended 2017/11/24
    8/10
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    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Russia -4
    Odds: 1.95
    Stake: 8/10

    Despite of some good players left in their Euroleague clubs, Russians have solid team.
    It consists of best VTB russian players and Vitaly Fridzon (CSKA Moscow), Andrei Zubkov (Khimki).
    By the way, a lot of players have played together in 2017 Euro championship. This factors should strongly affect team work and stability.
    There is nothing a lot to say about Bosnia team.
    There is no big names in a team, a squad looks quite poor.
    Conclusion: Russia -4 looks reliable today



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-24 11:36:01
    Event date: 2017-11-24 14:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Israel -7.5 @1.95
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/24
    8/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Israel -7.5
    Odds: 1.95
    Stake: 8/10

    Following squad, Israel has much better team than Estonia.
    In international games home court means a lot. In this case, for Estonia trip to Israel should be even bigger disadvantage because team consist of plyers from local league, where level is not high at all.
    Furthermore, Estonia has some Important players injured.
    Key players: Janni joesar and Sim sander Vene won't be able to help the team today.
    Final word: Israel -7.5 has a good value.



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-23 13:53:48
    Event date: 2017-11-23 22:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Baskonia -3 @1.95
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/23
    7/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Baskonia -3
    Odds: 1.95
    Stake: 7/10

    To start with, New waves gave for Baskonia posittive influence.
    Since the head coach has changed, team straight away started to show much better results.
    If you gonna have a look at the results, Baskonia have won 6 last games out of 7. They had defeat by only 1 point at khimki.
    But the wins are impressive, they beat teams like: Zalgiris, Real, Unicaja, panathinaikos.
    Nothing more needed to be told about today's Baskonia.
    Despite of Zvezdas home arena power, things for them are not so well.
    Recently results were going down, few defeats by big amount of points.
    Baskonia -3 is a good value for tonight



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-22 16:20:26
    Event date: 2017-11-23 20:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Zalgiris -2.5 @1.94
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/23
    8/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Zalgiris -2.5
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 8/10

    First off all, I can see value taking Zalgiris spread because line is too short, should be - 4 or more.
    Secondly, Efes this year is not solid enough because of lack of stability: a lot of naive behavior, each other misunderstanding.
    So far, with 4 wins out of 8 zalgiris pleasing fans expectations(reminding about low budget) and playing quality game.
    Furthermore, Sarunas Jasikevicius is concentrated on discipline and team work whats often a big advantage against undisciplined teams like Efes.
    Conclusion: following recent situation Zalgiris is more than ready to beat -2.5.



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-21 17:54:50
    Event date: 2017-11-22 18:30:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Polkowice W ML @2.60
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/22
    7/10
    Euroleague W
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Polkowice W ML
    Odds: 2.60
    Stake: 7/10

    Market is moving as Quigley for Galasaray (20.5 pts ave) will miss the game and the real line should be just very small favourites Galatasaray there. Alben will miss match too, but she was poor so far, though shortens rotation even more. Looks like Polkowice have decent chance to win there in away court.



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-16 14:37:00
    Event date: 2017-11-16 20:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Baskonia ML @2.34
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/16
    7/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Baskonia ML
    Odds: 2.34
    Stake: 7/10

    I feel this game is close to pick for me and I feel value betting on Baskonia with the price above 2.15.

    Zalgiris comming home from Malaga where they had two OT in the game and won on the last second clash.

    Team should feel pretty tired both physically and emotionally.

    Baskonia lost Diop, though team has played really well with the new coach and the only time they lost was 1pt loss in Moscow against Khimki.

    I believe Baskonia will reborn now and will start climbing up.



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-15 19:18:32
    Event date: 2017-11-16 22:00:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Unicaja +9.5 @1.95
    Lost
    Ended 2017/11/16
    7/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Unicaja +9.5
    Odds: 1.95
    Stake: 7/10

    First of all, Real is not as almighty as they were in the beginning of the season.

    They are struggling a lot at the moment and it is not a surprise at all.

    Its' reason without any doubt is - injuries.

    LLULL, Kuzmic, Ayon can not help the team.

    And finally some fresh news- Anthony Randolph will not be able to help the team against Unicaja as well.

    Because all the injuries Unicaja is going to have a big advantage under the basket.

    Following all the facts, Unicaja is not that big underdogs to take a victory tomorrow.



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-15 14:16:35
    Event date: 2017-11-15 19:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Under 158.5 @1.86
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/15
    8/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Under 158.5
    Odds: 1.86
    Stake: 8/10

    I can see Decent value in today's Neptunas - Paok game total.
    It is over rated because of each team high scoring in the last games against storng oponents.
    Example: Neptunas: against Lietuvos rytas, Gaziantep, Ludwigsburg. But all theese teams are high scorers.
    Paok the same: high score against Tenerife, Trikala.
    All in all: Total 158.5 looks high For Neptunas against defensive Paok.
    under - worth taking a risk



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-13 17:43:06
    Event date: 2017-11-13 21:10:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Usti n. Labem money line @2.20
    Lost
    Ended 2017/11/13
    8/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Usti n. Labem money line
    Odds: 2.20
    Stake: 8/10

    Today there is going to be a rivalry against two same level teams.

    In spite of that Usti n. Labem had a better beginning of the season and holding solid 4:3 win/loose record.

    For Prague everything is not as good as expected.

    3:3 win/loose record is not that bad, but fact that 5 games were played at home, makes it not that good.

    KEY FACTOR for this prediction is going to be a loss of QJ Peterson in Pragues team.

    He definitely was a leader of a team with an average of 20 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists.

    Conclusion: Without QJ peterson in Prague there is a decent value taking Usti n. Labem money line.



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-13 17:18:47
    Event date: 2017-11-14 21:05:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Over 161.5 @1.87
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/14
    8/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Over 161.5
    Odds: 1.87
    Stake: 8/10

     

    Both teams playing fast paced, high scoring basketball.

    If you would have a look at Maccabis results in Euroleague with a high scoring teams:Real, Zvezda, against both teams overs were covered

    Anadolou Efes the same: against CSKA, Barcelona, both Overs.

    As well, There is a value in 160.5 line because a total is not high at all.

    All in all: high scoring game expected.

     



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-08 12:13:29
    Event date: 2017-11-08 21:30:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Cedevita -2 @1.91
    Lost
    Ended 2017/11/08
    8/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Cedevita -2
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 8/10

    Looks like Levallois is in a very bad situation this season.
    In Eurocup they have lost all 4 games so far. in France they have won on 2 out of ten.
    Basically there is a two value factor for this game:
    First one - teams results Cedevita is very competitive and Levallois struggling A LOT.
    Secondly: Levallois is having Petr Cornélie, Cyrille Eliezer-Vanerot and Florent Pietrus injured tonight.
    Cedevitas -2 spread line - confident one tonight.



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-08 11:50:56
    Event date: 2017-11-08 17:00:00
    Stake: 8/10
    Over 159.5 @1.93
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/08
    8/10
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Over 159.5
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 8/10

    Gaziantep is fast paced high scoring team this season.

    In their last 6 games team covered over total points.

    In some of the games over was cover by solid extra amount of points.

    Ass well Gaziantep doesn't like to look after defense too much that's why teams are able to score a a lot against them.

    Ventspils is kind of flexible team which can ply following the opponents.

    According to Gaziantep is playing at home tonight, they should be the team which will be forcing underdogs to play fast.

    Conclusion: High scoring game expected where 160 points shouldn't be hard



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  • Publish date: 2017-11-07 16:59:10
    Event date: 2017-11-07 19:30:00
    Stake: 7/10
    Darussafaka Dogus -6.5 @1.90
    Won
    Ended 2017/11/07
    7/10
    Eurocup
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    lukitasw
    lukitasw +11.5% (115)
    Pick: Darussafaka Dogus -6.5
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 7/10

    At the moment teams are in a little bit different level.
    Darussafaka Dogus didn't loose any games in eurocup so far.
    Both in Eurocup and Turkey they didn't have any defeats at home.
    There should be an easy win for Darussafaka tonight, so line -6.5 ls too short
    All in all: value for Darussafaka Dogus - 6.5



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