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Paid tips profit: +11.56
Paid tips yield: +2.5%
Average stake:7.4
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Tips / month:12.8
Top position:#50
Average odds:2.08
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Both teams are not that high scoring and given total of points is a little too high.
If we would have a look at the average points of both teams in CL it's visible that total is about 5 points higher than average.
Both teams have played 12 games and 8 of them had under 162.5
Very simple: Value.
Team are facing a big financial issues, two main players have already left a team.
Furthermore this game for karpos doesn't mean anything, they are not going to qualify any further.
very good value taking line -17.5.
Main and the most important thing - Juventus is suffering from injuries very badly.
Only 7 players is going to be ready for the match today.
List of players off: Arvydas Šikšnius, Dovis Bičkauskisas, Laurynas Samėnas, Tautvydas Paliukėnas, Jonas Zakas.
Juventus should be definitely lacking of rotation and stability in the end of the game.
I can see very good value in taking Siauliai +8.5
First of all, there is a value in spread line -4.5
Secondly, anthony Gill which is one the key players has came back.
Despite of loose of Robinson, Khimki shouldn't have problems under the basket because Bambergs line of forwards are not that powerfull.
Conclusion: Khimki -4.5 worth taking a risk.
Despite of some good players left in their Euroleague clubs, Russians have solid team.
It consists of best VTB russian players and Vitaly Fridzon (CSKA Moscow), Andrei Zubkov (Khimki).
By the way, a lot of players have played together in 2017 Euro championship. This factors should strongly affect team work and stability.
There is nothing a lot to say about Bosnia team.
There is no big names in a team, a squad looks quite poor.
Conclusion: Russia -4 looks reliable today
Following squad, Israel has much better team than Estonia.
In international games home court means a lot. In this case, for Estonia trip to Israel should be even bigger disadvantage because team consist of plyers from local league, where level is not high at all.
Furthermore, Estonia has some Important players injured.
Key players: Janni joesar and Sim sander Vene won't be able to help the team today.
Final word: Israel -7.5 has a good value.
To start with, New waves gave for Baskonia posittive influence.
Since the head coach has changed, team straight away started to show much better results.
If you gonna have a look at the results, Baskonia have won 6 last games out of 7. They had defeat by only 1 point at khimki.
But the wins are impressive, they beat teams like: Zalgiris, Real, Unicaja, panathinaikos.
Nothing more needed to be told about today's Baskonia.
Despite of Zvezdas home arena power, things for them are not so well.
Recently results were going down, few defeats by big amount of points.
Baskonia -3 is a good value for tonight
First off all, I can see value taking Zalgiris spread because line is too short, should be - 4 or more.
Secondly, Efes this year is not solid enough because of lack of stability: a lot of naive behavior, each other misunderstanding.
So far, with 4 wins out of 8 zalgiris pleasing fans expectations(reminding about low budget) and playing quality game.
Furthermore, Sarunas Jasikevicius is concentrated on discipline and team work whats often a big advantage against undisciplined teams like Efes.
Conclusion: following recent situation Zalgiris is more than ready to beat -2.5.
Market is moving as Quigley for Galasaray (20.5 pts ave) will miss the game and the real line should be just very small favourites Galatasaray there. Alben will miss match too, but she was poor so far, though shortens rotation even more. Looks like Polkowice have decent chance to win there in away court.
I feel this game is close to pick for me and I feel value betting on Baskonia with the price above 2.15.
Zalgiris comming home from Malaga where they had two OT in the game and won on the last second clash.
Team should feel pretty tired both physically and emotionally.
Baskonia lost Diop, though team has played really well with the new coach and the only time they lost was 1pt loss in Moscow against Khimki.
I believe Baskonia will reborn now and will start climbing up.
First of all, Real is not as almighty as they were in the beginning of the season.
They are struggling a lot at the moment and it is not a surprise at all.
Its' reason without any doubt is - injuries.
LLULL, Kuzmic, Ayon can not help the team.
And finally some fresh news- Anthony Randolph will not be able to help the team against Unicaja as well.
Because all the injuries Unicaja is going to have a big advantage under the basket.
Following all the facts, Unicaja is not that big underdogs to take a victory tomorrow.
I can see Decent value in today's Neptunas - Paok game total.
It is over rated because of each team high scoring in the last games against storng oponents.
Example: Neptunas: against Lietuvos rytas, Gaziantep, Ludwigsburg. But all theese teams are high scorers.
Paok the same: high score against Tenerife, Trikala.
All in all: Total 158.5 looks high For Neptunas against defensive Paok.
under - worth taking a risk
Today there is going to be a rivalry against two same level teams.
In spite of that Usti n. Labem had a better beginning of the season and holding solid 4:3 win/loose record.
For Prague everything is not as good as expected.
3:3 win/loose record is not that bad, but fact that 5 games were played at home, makes it not that good.
KEY FACTOR for this prediction is going to be a loss of QJ Peterson in Pragues team.
He definitely was a leader of a team with an average of 20 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists.
Conclusion: Without QJ peterson in Prague there is a decent value taking Usti n. Labem money line.
Both teams playing fast paced, high scoring basketball.
If you would have a look at Maccabis results in Euroleague with a high scoring teams:Real, Zvezda, against both teams overs were covered
Anadolou Efes the same: against CSKA, Barcelona, both Overs.
As well, There is a value in 160.5 line because a total is not high at all.
All in all: high scoring game expected.
Looks like Levallois is in a very bad situation this season.
In Eurocup they have lost all 4 games so far. in France they have won on 2 out of ten.
Basically there is a two value factor for this game:
First one - teams results Cedevita is very competitive and Levallois struggling A LOT.
Secondly: Levallois is having Petr Cornélie, Cyrille Eliezer-Vanerot and Florent Pietrus injured tonight.
Cedevitas -2 spread line - confident one tonight.
Gaziantep is fast paced high scoring team this season.
In their last 6 games team covered over total points.
In some of the games over was cover by solid extra amount of points.
Ass well Gaziantep doesn't like to look after defense too much that's why teams are able to score a a lot against them.
Ventspils is kind of flexible team which can ply following the opponents.
According to Gaziantep is playing at home tonight, they should be the team which will be forcing underdogs to play fast.
Conclusion: High scoring game expected where 160 points shouldn't be hard
At the moment teams are in a little bit different level.
Darussafaka Dogus didn't loose any games in eurocup so far.
Both in Eurocup and Turkey they didn't have any defeats at home.
There should be an easy win for Darussafaka tonight, so line -6.5 ls too short
All in all: value for Darussafaka Dogus - 6.5