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Paid tips profit: +11.56
Paid tips yield: +2.5%
Average stake:7.4
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Tips / month:12.8
Top position:#50
Average odds:2.08
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Market moving to Hapoel side and I agree, much stronger side playing at home where they show real power. Powerful squad with some Israel national team players and good Americans like Dyson, Jarrels and also Omic. I expect a double digit win here for Hapoel.
Hi
Zalgiris should relax a bit after first win in Euroleague, also Dee Bost is injured and I expect Jankunas to get some more rest. Also Siauliai is not a bad team this year, showing decent performance and Zalgiris is still far from top form. I believe the spread should be about -18.5 for Zalgiris this game and I see it as a value pick.
Zwolle started season very good and spread is simply too short there, because Leeuwarden has two wins but won just against worst league teams. I believe Zwolle will not have problems to win in double digit here.
Bergamo missing 3 players last game and lost 34, Verona travelling with good mood there and with shortened rotation this game will be hard for Bergamo. Expect Verona to win in double digit.
Since Zalgiris is still searching for its game, I feel the spread moved a bit too much there. Also Dee Bost probably will be out for the home team. Crvena Zvezda will be aggresive and dangerous opponent as always and meanwhile Jankunas is looking poor and Zalgiris still strugle to find more easy points in offense, I expect to have quite close game here.
Market moving, but still possible to find even better line. On the beginning there were news that Nadezhda team will play without their americans because they were not allowed to enter country, but now seems two of them will come to Turkey today and will be able to play, so line is too big.
Many others same line. First season game, for me looks like Weert having very poor squad and found some articles saying the same, they don't expect to keep this game very close. I believe spread looks like a bit too short, some bookmakers already started moving same side.
I'm a bit late as opening price (about 2.30 moneyline) I see was crazy high for Rapla and dropped a bit already, but I think they will win today. Rapla started season very strong and managed to win against Kalev Cramo. I don'think TLU will be similar team there this year and I see this line for myself about -6 Rapla side as away team.
Den Helder is new team to league and Zwolle is second team from last year. Zwolle won preseason Cup showing they quite good prepared for the season, meanwhile I found some results Den Helder was nothing special and looking weak in friendlies, loosing few by 30 to main league teams. I believe line is really too short there for the weak first game of season.
Quilmes started super 20 tourney with two losses away and then reached two wins against quite strong teams at home. Gimnasia won twice against weak Weber and they a bit overreated now and lost to Penarol, that Quilmes beated at home quite easy. I believe Quilmes should be bigger favs there and market a bit overreact on Gimnasia wins against Weber.
Many books still have same line, Vytautas is on short rotation and still searching for their rhythm. I believe Lietuvos rytas will offer them aggresive defense same as Neptunas did and I expect similar scenario - Lietuvos rytas should run in second half as its different level teams this season. Line too short for me there.
Hi
This year Valmiera has mainly young players on a team and its not the same we were used to see last two seasons with good performances. Meanwhile Ogre is much stronger - started the season with 3 wins including unexpected one with Vef Riga, team is emotionally high and playing at home today. Market already started moving to Ogre side, seems spread is still a bit too short there and I expect Ogre to win in double digit.
Good Luck!
Svendborg team lost few key players from last year and looks much weaker as they used to be, at least on paper. On the season beginning I think there is a value on a home team and I try my luck with at least smaller stake there.
Vytautas is weak this season and having slow start there, can't find their rhythm so far. Neptunas is opposite, having big emotional wave after win against Zalgiris, also having new american joined the team and Delininkaitis might play after his injury too. Much better rotation on Neptunas side, more balanced team and I expect them to win in double digit.
The beginning of the season here, early line and same fixture as usually in Japan second day in a row. First fixture line was moving on Kyoto and they won 80-62, now same fixture with low line from bookmakers again. I believe Kyoto will cover again as they look strong now.
Polkowice is even stronger than they were last season and has 4 WNBA players in total, meanwhile slovakian budget as they say is 2-3 times smaller and overall they have no chances to promote there.
Olympiacos will play today without leaders Printezis and Spanoulis, price is dropping in the market for Maccabi and I see this game about 50/50 coinflip with current squads and the odds are showing value in Maccabi side.
Cheers!
Hello
This is Basketball Champions League game, though I didn't find that league in the list.
For me Vytautas didn't deserve underdog name in this pair but it was like this in the first away in Holland where they still manage to win in close game. Second game is at home and usually Vytautas is a home team that shows better quality basketball at home. Donar team lost two key players from last season (33 pts ave per both) and I believe they still need time to get in the rhythm. My line would be about Vytautas -7.5 here.
Seems Cherno More has stronger squad this year and the line been moving to their side since the opening. I believe they are stronger side there and the game lines were created according last year results. A lot of guessing here, but I go with Cherno side.